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[Mathematics] Weird Lottery Probability: Part 2 - Printable Version

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+---- Thread: [Mathematics] Weird Lottery Probability: Part 2 (/Thread-Mathematics-Weird-Lottery-Probability-Part-2)



[Mathematics] Weird Lottery Probability: Part 2 - Eclipse - 07-05-2015

I you haven't seen part one, click here.

So, since part 1 was so negative, I thought I might as well give you fgts some hope.

We calculated the chance of any single person winning the lottery as:

Code:
0.0000000715112384

But what about the chances of anyone in the UK winning the lottery?

Code:
0.0000000715112384 * 63500000 = 4.5409636384

That's about a 450% chance of someone winning. Not you, just someone. Go gamble away your life savings.

Oh, and @lux:

(03-30-2015, 09:39 PM)Lux Wrote: Good shit. Now calculate the chance of me winning £10 from 4 correct numbers, etc.

Code:
1 / (49*48*47*46) = 0.0000001966559057
(1/5085024)

4! = 1*2*3*4 = 24

Code:
5085024 / 24 = 211876

So the chances of @lux getting 4 numbers correct is 1/211876. That's one in almost two hundred and twelve thousand. And for that, he'd win £100. ($156)


RE: [Mathematics] Weird Lottery Probability: Part 2 - Master - 07-05-2015

Do you have better chances at winning at casinos then Lottery? That's might be a interesting thread to make next.


RE: [Mathematics] Weird Lottery Probability: Part 2 - Crypt - 07-05-2015

(07-05-2015, 04:51 PM)Master Wrote: Do you have better chances at winning at casinos then Lottery? That's might be a interesting thread to make next.

Oh, definitely. There are different games at casinos, but either way, the odds are stacked wayyyyy more against you in lottery.


RE: [Mathematics] Weird Lottery Probability: Part 2 - Eclipse - 07-05-2015

(07-05-2015, 04:51 PM)Master Wrote: Do you have better chances at winning at casinos then Lottery? That's might be a interesting thread to make next.

Ahh, you've given me an idea for a series.


RE: [Mathematics] Weird Lottery Probability: Part 2 - lux - 07-05-2015

Fucking bosh one mate, I'll drop a few quid on the lotto and cotch at the pub for the night.

Actually. For the price of 10 pints of bud, what're my odds of winning the slots/raffle?


RE: [Mathematics] Weird Lottery Probability: Part 2 - Eclipse - 07-06-2015

(07-05-2015, 09:59 PM)Lux Wrote: Fucking bosh one mate, I'll drop a few quid on the lotto and cotch at the pub for the night.

Actually. For the price of 10 pints of bud, what're my odds of winning the slots/raffle?

Well, you could increase your chances of winning the raffle by buying multiple tickets on a game with fewer people playing, like midweek draws with modest jackpots. But I wouldn't risk it. The probability of you winning the millionaire raffle is 1 in over 32 million. (1/number of players)